9
His Finest Hour
5yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 68
Redcar · Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 1y
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 4 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Ripon | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Ripon | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Southwell | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Doncaster | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength19%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 31/07/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 75% | -0.18 |
| 10/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 14/09/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 23/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 91% | +0.44 |
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 33% | -0.54 |
| 11/09/2026 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |