4
Optician
6yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 74
Redcar · Weatherbys & Birdie Calendars Handicap (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 2f 1y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-07-29 | Redcar | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | York | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Thirsk | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
Delivery trend +0.0% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 18/04/2025 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 63% | +0.57 |
| 31/05/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 86% | +0.04 |
| 17/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 11/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |