4
Bravo Hotel
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 68
Redcar · racingtv/freetrial Handicap · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength71%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | York | 4 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thirsk | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Catterick | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-17 | Beverley | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-05-30 | Carlisle | 2 | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2025-05-14 | York | 2 | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 14/05/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 30/05/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 17/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 01/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |