Ventura Express
9yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 70
Redcar · racingtv/freetrial Handicap · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Beverley | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | York | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Pontefract | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Pontefract | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Beverley | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-23 | Beverley | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 22/01/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 19/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 23/04/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 04/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 21/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 81% | +0.55 |
| 13/08/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |