Judicature
4yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 62
Redcar · AJA Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | 5 | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Newcastle | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Carlisle | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Southwell | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-05-18 | Carlisle | 5 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 33% | -0.49 |
| 05/12/2025 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 18/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 18/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 09/07/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 02/09/2026 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 18% | -0.34 |