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6

Mr Jetman

6yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 59

Redcar · AJA Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

86%

Place Prob

62%

Rank

#1

★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who ended a long losing run at Ripon last spring and followed up at the same track. However, ended the campaign on a low-key note and has been absent 14 months ahead of first run since leaving Seb Spencer.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Newcastle 13/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 54 · 1m5y Std 134 · beat its mark13/03/2025 · OR 54 par13/036OR 545 @ Doncaster 30/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 21 · OR 54 · 1m Gd 140 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/03/2025 · OR 54 par6 @ Nottingham 12/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 54 · 1m75y Goo 135 · beat its mark12/04/2025 · OR 54 par12/046OR 546 @ Beverley 24/04/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 54 · 1m100y Goo 129 · beat its mark24/04/2025 · OR 54 par6 @ Ripon 18/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 54 · 1m Goo 134 · beat its mark18/05/2025 · OR 54 par18/056OR 545 @ Ripon 04/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 59 · 1m Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/06/2025 · OR 59 par5 @ Ripon 19/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 62 · 1m1f170y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2025 · OR 62 par19/065OR 624 @ York 28/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 17 · OR 62 · 1m2f56y Goo 138 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2025 · OR 62 par5 @ Ripon 07/07/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 61 · 1m Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/07/2025 · OR 61 par7/075OR 61projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-07-07Ripon59th8th+1
2025-06-28York49th7th+2
2025-06-19Ripon55th4th+1
2025-06-04Ripon51st0th+1
2025-05-18Ripon61st1st0
2025-04-24Beverley68th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0324/0419/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%

Delivery trend -5.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/03/20253rd10/147%75%+0.28
30/03/20252nd8/158%95%+0.37
12/04/20253rd13/891%80%-0.11
24/04/20258th7/282%22%-0.59
18/05/20251st2/189%100%+0.11
04/06/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
19/06/20255th9/276%43%-0.33
28/06/20259th18/15%50%+0.45
07/07/20259th7/282%11%-0.70