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9

Night Emperor

4yo Gelding · 10-7 · OR 52

Redcar · AJA Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 7f

#5

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Confirmed previous promise for current yard this year when opening account in handicap here (6f) in July. Has run well both starts since, third in 16-runner contest at this course 2 weeks ago, and he merits consideration.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 29/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 62 · 7f14y Sta 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/10/2024 · OR 62 par29/105OR 626 @ Newcastle 24/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 57 · 7f14y Std 132 · below its mark24/02/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Redcar 07/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 54 · 5f217y Goo 134 · beat its mark07/05/2026 · OR 54 par7/056OR 546 @ Ripon 28/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 53 · 6f Goo 134 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Thirsk 01/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR 51 · 6f Goo 132 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 51 par1/076OR 516 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 50 · 7f Goo 133 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Redcar 29/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 49 · 5f217y Goo 131 · beat its mark29/07/2026 · OR 49 par29/076OR 496 @ Redcar 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 52 · 5f217y Goo 132 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Redcar 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 52 · 5f217y Goo 134 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 52 par9/096OR 52projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Redcar63rd3rd0
2026-08-22Redcar64th4th0
2026-07-29Redcar61st1st0
2026-07-16Thirsk65th5th0
2026-07-01Thirsk64th4th0
2026-05-28Ripon64th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1028/0529/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 12.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/20247th9/276%33%-0.43
24/02/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
07/05/20266th14/126%55%+0.28
28/05/20264th14/126%57%+0.31
01/07/20264th13/266%82%+0.17
16/07/20265th5/287%50%-0.37
29/07/20261st4/179%100%+0.21
22/08/20264th7/282%80%-0.02
09/09/20263rd11/486%87%+0.01