8
Oselton
4yo Gelding · 10-9 · OR 54
Redcar · AJA Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 7f
#10
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Beverley | 6 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Doncaster | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Thirsk | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-10-30 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Newcastle | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 36% | -0.24 |
| 05/08/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 25/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 30/10/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 13% | -0.73 |
| 10/04/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |
| 16/06/2026 | 12th | 4/1 | 79% | 15% | -0.64 |
| 25/06/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.07 |