4
Sandret
10yo Gelding · 11-1 · OR 60
Redcar · AJA Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
12%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Thirsk | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Beverley | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 5 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Wolverhampton | 5 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-08-29 | Thirsk | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-08 | Musselburgh | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/03/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 27/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 30/07/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 29/08/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 16/06/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |