4
Bold Windsor
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 38
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength42%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Thistledown | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength45%
Delivery trend +1.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 14% | -0.71 |
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 19/03/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/05/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 21/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 29/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |