2
Just A Rockstar
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 43
Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Thistledown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Thistledown | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/11/2024 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 18/03/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 20/05/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 40% | -0.23 |
| 10/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 30/06/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 12/08/2026 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |