6

Money Magic

3yo Gelding · 8-5 · OR 46

Thistledown · Race 1 - Claiming · 5f 110y

#8

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 9.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 2

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 26/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 119 · below its mark26/11/2025 · OR 100 par26/11C9OR 100C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 31 · 1m Gd 119 · beat its mark19/12/2025 · OR 31 par19/12C9OR 31C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 40 · 7f 119 · below its mark04/01/2026 · OR 40 par4/01C9OR 40C6 @ Mahoning Valley 09/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 34 · 6f 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 34 par9/02C6OR 34C6 @ Mahoning Valley 24/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 33 · 6f Gd 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/02/2026 · OR 33 par24/02C6OR 33projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-02-24Mahoning Valley?11th9th+2
2026-02-09Mahoning Valley?7th5th+2
2026-01-04Tampa Bay Downs?11th12th1
2025-12-19Tampa Bay Downs?7th8th1
2025-11-26Tampa Bay Downs?9th10th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1119/124/019/0224/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength71%

Delivery trend -7.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20259th40/10%11%+0.11
19/12/20257th40/10%33%+0.33
04/01/202611th50/10%0%0.00
09/02/20267th16/116%0%-0.16
24/02/202611th25/10%0%0.00