2
Drury Lane
5yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 79
Thistledown · Race 2 - Allowance · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 02/06/2025 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 0% | -0.91 |
| 21/06/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 60% | -0.31 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 29/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 21/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 17% | -0.52 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |