5
Making Me Crazy
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Thistledown · Race 3 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +7.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 05/05/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 01/06/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 25% | -0.46 |
| 16/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 18/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 31/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |