3
Fast Talkin Man
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 74
Thistledown · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Thistledown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength70%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 24/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 11/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 13/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |