1

Pride And Attitude

5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 65

Thistledown · Race 7 - Claiming · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

19%

Place Prob

25%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength65%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mahoning Valley 05/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 55 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/11/2025 · OR 55 par5/11C5OR 55C5 @ Mahoning Valley 08/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 61 · 1m 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/12/2025 · OR 61 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 22/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 59 · 6f Slo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/01/2026 · OR 59 par22/01C5OR 59C5 @ Mahoning Valley 09/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 55 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/03/2026 · OR 55 parC5 @ Mahoning Valley 25/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 57 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/03/2026 · OR 57 par25/03C5OR 57C8 @ Thistledown 12/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 62 · 6f Fas 119 · beat its mark12/05/2026 · OR 62 parC8 @ Thistledown 23/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 64 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 64 par23/06C8OR 64C8 @ Thistledown 28/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 66 · 1m 119 · below its mark28/07/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Thistledown 24/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 66 · 1m 119 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 66 par24/08C8OR 66projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-07-28Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-06-23Thistledown?4th4th0
2026-05-12Thistledown?2nd2nd0
2026-03-25Mahoning Valley?3rd0th+3
2026-03-09Mahoning Valley?5th2nd+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/119/0323/0624/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength65%

Delivery trend -5.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/11/20255th14/126%43%+0.17
08/12/20253rd20/10%67%+0.67
22/01/20267th14/126%0%-0.26
09/03/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
25/03/20263rd13/266%60%-0.06
12/05/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52
23/06/20264th7/282%40%-0.42
28/07/20264th9/488%63%-0.26
24/08/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06