6
Blazing Zenna
8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 63
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Thistledown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Thistledown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -2.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/03/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 05/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 15/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 07/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 22/07/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 17% | -0.36 |
| 26/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |