1
Opulent Ways
8yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 62
Thistledown · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
17%
Place Prob
22%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-07 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-14 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength58%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 30/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 17/07/2025 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 14/08/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 24/09/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 07/01/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 18/02/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 26/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |