3
Come Chope
2yo Filly · 8-12
Toulouse · Prix Georges Sicard Claiming · 6f 211y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
58%
Place Prob
45%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength100%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +4.3
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 10th | 3rd | +6 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | ? | 1st | -3th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -45.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 12/09/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 10% | -0.37 |