6
El Diablo
2yo Colt · 8-11
Toulouse · Prix Georges Sicard Claiming · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength89%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 7.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 12th | 8th | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +6.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 26/06/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 15/07/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 64% | +0.00 |
| 05/09/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |