7
Fardela
2yo Filly · 8-8
Toulouse · Prix Georges Sicard Claiming · 6f 211y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength84%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Dax | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 9th | 5th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +8.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 15/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |