9
Oblinskha
2yo Filly · 8-8
Toulouse · Prix Georges Sicard Claiming · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
39%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength100%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: +4.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Toulouse | 2 | 6th | -1th | +6 |
| 2026-08-10 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 6th | -1th | +6 |
| 2026-03-21 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | -3th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
Delivery trend -25.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 10/08/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |