4

Zea Mays

2yo Filly · 8-12

Toulouse · Prix Georges Sicard Claiming · 6f 211y

#9

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength84%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.0
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 120 · HIGHER CLASS1/07C5C5 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 26/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/08C5projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26La Teste De Buch?6th2nd+3
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan?10th6th+3
2026-07-01La Teste De Buch?5th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0726/0726/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%

Delivery trend -7.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20265th33/10%69%+0.69
26/07/202610th18/15%0%-0.05
26/08/20266th40/10%55%+0.55