8
Lavasina
3yo Filly · 8-12
Toulouse · Prix Young Tiger Maiden · 1m 3f 204y
#10
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength90%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Tarbes | ? | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength85%
Delivery trend +29.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |