9
Simply Game
3yo Filly · 8-12
Toulouse · Prix Young Tiger Maiden · 1m 3f 204y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength91%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 8th | 4th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -44.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 42% | +0.36 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 29/08/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |