2
Square Du Croisic
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Young Tiger Maiden · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength35%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 2 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 10.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | ? | 15th | 11th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +63.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2026 | 15th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |