1
Tuwari
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix Young Tiger Maiden · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
74%
Place Prob
42%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength91%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.4 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 5th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +42.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 27% | -0.46 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 78% | -0.04 |