1

Au Dela Des Mers

3yo Colt · 9-8

Toulouse · Prix De L'ariege Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 08/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1288/09C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 14/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y GS 128C5 @ Pau 13/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12813/11C5C5 @ Pau 20/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 128C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 12327/03C?C0 @ Tarbes 17/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 128C0 @ La Teste De Buch 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12515/05C?C0 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 132C0 @ Chantilly 07/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1217/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Chantilly?11th11th0
2026-06-08Toulouse?3rd3rd0
2026-05-15La Teste De Buch?1st1st0
2026-04-17Tarbes?3rd3rd0
2026-03-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat?4th4th0
2026-02-20Pau?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0920/0215/057/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength92%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/09/20256th40/10%38%+0.38
14/10/20255th5/174%33%-0.40
13/11/20255th7/163%64%+0.00
20/02/20265th9/153%67%+0.14
27/03/20264th10/382%67%-0.16
17/04/20263rd15/890%78%-0.12
15/05/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
08/06/20263rd7/282%80%-0.02
07/07/202611th25/10%29%+0.29