8
Kristal
3yo Gelding · 8-9
Toulouse · Prix De L'ariege Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#10
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Vichy | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Salon-De-Provence | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength50%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 16/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 06/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 12/06/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |
| 21/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |