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11

Marionor

3yo Gelding · 8-1

Toulouse · Prix De L'ariege Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#11

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 15/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 12315/06C5C5 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1283/07C5C5 @ Dax 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 12817/07C5projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Dax?4th4th0
2026-07-03Tarbes?7th7th0
2026-06-15Bordeaux Le Bouscat?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/063/0717/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%

Delivery trend +14.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/06/20268th22/10%13%+0.13
03/07/20267th20/10%40%+0.40
17/07/20264th16/116%57%+0.41