3
Merle
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Toulouse · Prix De L'ariege Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#9
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Dax | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength11%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 11th of 11.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |
| 16/03/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 18/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 11/06/2026 | 13th | 50/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 26/06/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/08/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 05/09/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |