7
Moustique
3yo Gelding · 8-9
Toulouse · Prix De L'ariege Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Dax | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 27/11/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |