5
Shera
3yo Filly · 8-13
Toulouse · Prix De L'ariege Handicap · 1m 2f 205y
#7
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 100/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 12/06/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 03/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 22/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 50% | -0.05 |