IvyArcIvyArc
4

Tulsa King

3yo Colt · 9-2

Toulouse · Prix De L'ariege Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#5

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pau 28/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12828/11C5C5 @ Pau 26/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12826/12C5C5 @ Pau 18/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12818/01C52 @ Toulouse 21/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12521/052C0 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Gd 13626/06C?C5 @ Mont De Marsan 29/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Gd 12329/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 26/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12326/08C5projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-26La Teste De Buch?7th7th0
2026-07-29Mont De Marsan?2nd2nd0
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch?9th9th0
2026-05-21Toulouse26th6th0
2026-01-18Pau?1st1st0
2025-12-26Pau?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/1121/0526/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -7.8% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20255th9/488%67%-0.21
26/12/20252nd7/491%93%+0.02
18/01/20261st2/598%100%+0.02
21/05/20266th5/174%0%-0.74
26/06/20269th6/168%0%-0.68
29/07/20262nd11/1094%88%-0.07
26/08/20267th15/890%25%-0.65