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Wite Toast

3yo Filly · 8-9

Toulouse · Prix De L'ariege Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#4

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ La Teste De Buch 19/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 12419/07C5C5 @ Pau 22/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12422/10C5C5 @ Toulouse 16/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 12416/11C5C0 @ La Teste De Buch 11/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 11911/07C?C0 @ La Teste De Buch 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 1195/08C?C0 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 12429/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Tarbes?2nd2nd0
2026-08-05La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2026-07-11La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2025-11-16Toulouse?5th5th0
2025-10-22Pau?7th7th0
2025-07-19La Teste De Buch?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0722/1016/1111/075/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/07/20255th14/126%50%+0.24
22/10/20257th16/116%40%+0.24
16/11/20255th18/15%60%+0.55
11/07/20262nd50/10%88%+0.88
05/08/20262nd10/382%83%+0.01
29/08/20262nd5/287%86%-0.01