7

Amiral D'aumont

4yo Gelding · 9-1

Toulouse · Prix De Saint-serninprix De Saint-sernin Handicap · 1m 6f 200y

#6

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 11/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f199y Std 12711/12C?C0 @ Chantilly 27/12/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f199y Std 1293 @ Toulouse 19/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12119/043C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f199y Sft 1364 @ Saint-Cloud 22/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f90y Sft 12322/054C0 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1203 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f91y Gd 1283/0734 @ Les Sables 06/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Gd 1234 @ Le Lion D'angers 04/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1274/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Le Lion D'angers45th5th0
2026-08-06Les Sables43rd3rd0
2026-07-03Clairefontaine37th7th0
2026-06-08Toulouse?6th6th0
2026-05-22Saint-Cloud411th11th0
2026-05-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/125/053/074/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/12/20256th12/137%64%+0.27
27/12/20259th15/261%33%-0.27
19/04/202612th33/10%8%+0.08
05/05/20268th18/15%42%+0.36
22/05/202611th9/153%9%-0.44
08/06/20266th15/261%44%-0.16
03/07/20267th12/137%57%+0.20
06/08/20263rd17/255%71%+0.16
04/09/20265th10/147%73%+0.26