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6

Cocoon Quatre

6yo Mare · 9-2

Toulouse · Prix De Saint-serninprix De Saint-sernin Handicap · 1m 6f 200y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength24%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pau 26/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 13026/12C?4 @ Pau 16/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 1324 @ Deauville 29/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 72 · 1m4f94y Std 120 · beat its mark29/01/2026 · OR 72 par29/014OR 724 @ Le Mans 04/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f199y Hvy 1314 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f199y Sft 12827/0344 @ Toulouse 06/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 128C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m7f199y Sft 1295/05C?C0 @ Toulouse 08/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1194 @ Le Lion D'angers 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1284/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Le Lion D'angers42nd2nd0
2026-06-08Toulouse?10th10th0
2026-05-05Bordeaux Le Bouscat?2nd2nd0
2026-04-06Toulouse47th7th0
2026-03-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat44th4th0
2026-03-04Le Mans46th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/124/035/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/12/20254th12/137%79%+0.42
16/01/20268th12/137%46%+0.09
29/01/20267th12/137%50%+0.13
04/03/20266th33/10%64%+0.64
27/03/20264th25/10%80%+0.80
06/04/20267th9/153%60%+0.07
05/05/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55
08/06/202610th8/158%0%-0.58
04/09/20262nd20/10%93%+0.93