10
Eliott Chop
6yo Gelding · 8-0
Toulouse · Prix De Saint-serninprix De Saint-sernin Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Dax | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Toulouse | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-01 | Toulouse | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength12%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 02/07/2025 | 10th | 5/1 | 74% | 18% | -0.56 |
| 31/07/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 06/09/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 01/10/2025 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 85% | +0.19 |
| 27/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 01/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.02 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 73% | +0.20 |