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9

Iwantobreak Free

6yo Gelding · 8-2

Toulouse · Prix De Saint-serninprix De Saint-sernin Handicap · 1m 6f 200y

#10

Rank

Odds

35/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 9.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 22/06/2024 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f202y Sft 12222/06C?C5 @ Craon 23/09/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Ver 12523/09C5C0 @ Nantes 19/10/2024 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR - · 2m2f86y Hvy 12319/10C?4 @ Toulouse 27/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 12327/0544 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 15/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 13215/0644 @ Dax 17/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 12717/0744 @ La Teste De Buch 19/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y GS 12819/084projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19La Teste De Buch48th8th0
2026-07-17Dax412th12th0
2026-06-15Bordeaux Le Bouscat411th11th0
2026-05-27Toulouse49th9th0
2024-10-19Nantes?7th7th0
2024-09-23Craon?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0627/0519/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.9% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/06/202415th33/10%7%+0.07
23/09/20244th66/10%70%+0.70
19/10/20247th12/137%25%-0.12
27/05/20269th22/10%11%+0.11
15/06/202611th11/142%29%-0.14
17/07/202612th16/116%8%-0.07
19/08/20268th18/15%0%-0.05