4
Voila Pourquoi
9yo Gelding · 9-3
Toulouse · Prix De Saint-serninprix De Saint-sernin Handicap · 1m 6f 200y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Vichy | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 22/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 22/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 22/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 23/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 54% | +0.28 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |