9
Belle Anse
6yo Mare · 8-11
Toulouse · Prix De La Mediterranee Claiming · 1m 1f 207y
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength77%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: +3.9
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 3 | 13th | 8th | +5 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 11th | 6th | +5 |
| 2026-04-22 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Pau | 3 | 9th | 4th | +5 |
| 2025-12-04 | Pau | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-11-02 | Angers | ? | 4th | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2025 | 10th | 11/1 | 42% | 40% | -0.02 |
| 27/07/2025 | 14th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 04/12/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/01/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.33 |
| 22/04/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.23 |
| 23/05/2026 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 04/07/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |