3

Fille D'argentine
4yo Filly · 9-1
Toulouse · Prix De La Mediterranee Claiming · 1m 1f 207y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +4.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Tarbes | 4 | 6th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-05-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 9th | 4th | +5 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 8th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-04-11 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 2nd | -3th | +5 |
| 2026-03-23 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 4th | -1th | +5 |
| 2026-02-01 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 3 | 13th | 8th | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 02/01/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 19/01/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/02/2026 | 13th | 22/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 27/04/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 18/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |