3

Fille D'argentine

4yo Filly · 9-1

Toulouse · Prix De La Mediterranee Claiming · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: +4.3
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 23/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 128 · HIGHER CLASS23/11C5C0 @ Pau 02/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1332 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 19/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f100y Ver 121 · HIGHER CLASS19/0123 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Mont De Marsan 23/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS23/0333 @ Fontainebleau 11/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 129 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS27/0433 @ Marseille-borely 18/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 7f100y GS 120 · HIGHER CLASS29/084projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Tarbes46th2nd+4
2026-05-18Marseille-borely39th4th+5
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat38th3rd+5
2026-04-11Fontainebleau32nd-3th+5
2026-03-23Mont De Marsan34th-1th+5
2026-02-01Cagnes-sur-Mer313th8th+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/111/0227/0429/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20254th11/893%50%-0.43
02/01/20267th16/116%57%+0.41
19/01/20266th66/10%64%+0.64
01/02/202613th22/10%20%+0.20
23/03/20264th10/147%73%+0.25
11/04/20262nd16/116%93%+0.77
27/04/20268th10/147%50%+0.03
18/05/20269th12/137%47%+0.10
29/08/20266th12/137%50%+0.13