4

Georges Ville
5yo Gelding · 9-1
Toulouse · Prix De La Mediterranee Claiming · 1m 1f 207y
#8
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength100%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: +4.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Mont De Marsan | 3 | 2nd | -3th | +5 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mont De Marsan | 2 | 11th | 4th | +6 |
| 2026-06-11 | La Teste De Buch | 4 | 3rd | -1th | +4 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 3 | 8th | 3rd | +5 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 10th | 3rd | +6 |
| 2026-04-06 | Toulouse | 3 | 8th | 3rd | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/2025 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 11/01/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 10/03/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 06/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/04/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 23/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 11/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 78% | -0.08 |
| 26/07/2026 | 11th | 22/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 17/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |