4

Georges Ville

5yo Gelding · 9-1

Toulouse · Prix De La Mediterranee Claiming · 1m 1f 207y

#8

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move5
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: +4.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Chantilly 28/10/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12328/10C?C5 @ Pau 11/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Std 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 10/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f97y Hvy 13810/03C?3 @ Toulouse 06/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 138 · HIGHER CLASS2 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS27/0423 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y GS 133 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ La Teste De Buch 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS11/0642 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 122 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Mont De Marsan 17/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS17/083projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-17Mont De Marsan32nd-3th+5
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan211th4th+6
2026-06-11La Teste De Buch43rd-1th+4
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat38th3rd+5
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat210th3rd+6
2026-04-06Toulouse38th3rd+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/106/0411/0617/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength70%

Delivery trend -2.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/10/202515th50/10%7%+0.07
11/01/20264th22/10%63%+0.63
10/03/202612th20/10%27%+0.27
06/04/20268th22/10%50%+0.50
27/04/202610th28/10%36%+0.36
23/05/20268th16/116%50%+0.34
11/06/20263rd11/486%78%-0.08
26/07/202611th22/10%29%+0.29
17/08/20262nd11/271%90%+0.19