8

Perihelio

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Toulouse · Prix De La Mediterranee Claiming · 1m 1f 207y

#4

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move4
Strength95%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +3.7
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Fontainebleau 28/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Sft 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/0233 @ Saint-Cloud 15/03/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 132 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Nantes 31/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 127 · HIGHER CLASS31/0334 @ ParisLongchamp 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ ParisLongchamp 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Ver 130 · HIGHER CLASS14/0543 @ ParisLongchamp 15/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Compiegne 28/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/0744 @ Les Sables 06/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m1f152y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASS4 @ Tarbes 29/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 123 · HIGHER CLASS29/084projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Tarbes43rd-1th+4
2026-08-06Les Sables42nd-2th+4
2026-07-28Compiegne410th6th+4
2026-06-15ParisLongchamp39th4th+5
2026-05-14ParisLongchamp46th2nd+4
2026-04-30ParisLongchamp44th0th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0230/0428/0729/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/02/20268th14/126%53%+0.27
15/03/202615th33/10%0%0.00
31/03/202610th10/147%10%-0.37
30/04/20264th7/163%73%+0.10
14/05/20266th7/163%38%-0.26
15/06/20269th14/126%11%-0.15
28/07/202610th11/142%18%-0.24
06/08/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
29/08/20263rd10/147%67%+0.19