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Pouvoir Royal

8yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 88

Toulouse · Prix De La Mediterranee Claiming · 1m 1f 207y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

99%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼4
Strength100%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today:
Class gap: +4.4
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Toulouse 03/11/2022 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 88 · 1m3f204y Sft 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/11/2022 · OR 88 par3/11C5OR 88C1 @ Toulouse 27/11/2022 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR 88 · 1m3f204y 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/11/2022 · OR 88 parC5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 19/01/2023 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 1m4f94y Sft 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/01/2023 · OR 88 par19/01C5OR 88C1 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/02/2023 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 88 · 1m4f94y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark26/02/2023 · OR 88 parC5 @ Lyon-Parilly 18/04/2023 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 1m3f204y Sft 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2023 · OR 88 par18/04C5OR 88C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/05/2023 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 88 · 1m3f204y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/05/2023 · OR 88 par3 @ Lyon-Parilly 23/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 88 · 1m1f207y Sft 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 88 par23/053OR 883 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 133 · HIGHER CLASS3 @ Vichy 03/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/093projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03Vichy311th6th+5
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch34th-1th+5
2026-05-23Lyon-Parilly36th1st+5
2023-05-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat?2nd-2th+3
2023-04-18Lyon-Parilly?1st-3th+3
2023-02-26Cagnes-sur-Mer?4th-4th+7

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1126/0223/053/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength28%

Delivery trend -2.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20221st8/1196%100%+0.04
27/11/20223rd3/184%88%+0.03
19/01/20231st9/488%100%+0.12
26/02/20234th11/486%70%-0.16
18/04/20231st11/1094%100%+0.06
27/05/20232nd9/488%91%+0.03
23/05/20266th18/15%44%+0.39
26/06/20264th7/163%77%+0.14
03/09/202611th6/168%17%-0.52