8
Aitutaki
3yo Filly · 8-10
Toulouse · Prix Jean De Tauriac Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Lyon-Parilly | 2 | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-08-14 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -40.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |