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3yo Colt · 8-13

Toulouse · Prix Jean De Tauriac Stakes · 1m 1f 207y

#2

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

4%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 11820/03C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 27/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12827/04C5C5 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12823/05C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12811/06C5C5 @ Dax 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m3f95y Gd 12817/07C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-17Dax?1st1st0
2026-06-11La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-05-23Bordeaux Le Bouscat?2nd2nd0
2026-04-27Bordeaux Le Bouscat?7th7th0
2026-03-20Le Mans?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0327/0423/0511/0617/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -10.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/03/20264th14/126%67%+0.40
27/04/20267th50/10%40%+0.40
23/05/20262nd40/10%83%+0.83
11/06/20263rd7/282%82%+0.00
17/07/20261st6/492%100%+0.08