2
Le Legionnaire
3yo Colt · 8-13
Toulouse · Prix Jean De Tauriac Stakes · 1m 1f 207y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength56%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: +2.3
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | La Teste De Buch | 2 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-07-17 | Dax | 2 | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-06-29 | Dax | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | 2 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 04/12/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 13/01/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 44% | -0.40 |
| 29/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 17/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 05/08/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 03/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |