3

Chamawave

3yo Filly · 9-7

Toulouse · Prix Du Bas Armagnac Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Mont De Marsan 12/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 12712/03C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 03/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m2f96y GS 1313/06C5C5 @ Tarbes 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1273/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 19/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 12719/08C5projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19La Teste De Buch?2nd2nd0
2026-07-03Tarbes?2nd2nd0
2026-06-03La Teste De Buch?5th5th0
2026-03-12Mont De Marsan?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/033/063/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength74%

Delivery trend +5.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/03/20263rd3/184%78%-0.06
03/06/20265th9/488%43%-0.45
03/07/20262nd7/282%88%+0.06
19/08/20262nd11/486%80%-0.06