2

Neo De La Brunie

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Toulouse · Prix Du Bas Armagnac Stakes · 1m 2f 96y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 17/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 14717/07C5C5 @ La Teste De Buch 19/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 13019/08C5projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-07-17Dieppe?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0719/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%

Delivery trend -9.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/07/20262nd7/163%75%+0.12
19/08/20263rd8/158%60%+0.02